Edward Thomas Author

Economic and Business cycle expert and Author of a "cycles" trilogy about history, politics, and economic cycles.

Will inflation remain at or below 2% forever?

Why has inflation stubbornly resisted to rise above 2%, as the Fed has expected it to do? Ken Fisher, founder and executive chairman of...

Will Janet Yellen serve another term as Fed Chair?

Janet Yellen’s current term as Federal Reserve Chairperson will expire in February 2018. On Twitter, President Donald Trump stated that...

The Never-ending Bull

Like a bull charging the bullfighter’s cape, the stock market is on a rampage, flying through the air and through successive stock market...

The Punch Bowl

The great Fed Chairman Bill Martin was quoted as saying his job was to “take away the punch bowl, just as the party is getting good.” [1]...

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The Next Great President

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Last blog for a while…

Will oil prices slow down the economy?

Could a rate cut launch the housing market?

Which direction is this market headed?

What is going to be the next inflation trigger?

The yield curve inversion and what that means for the economy

Lower interest rates and less competition - how long will it last?

Have the bears had their last roar, or is the market poised for more pain?

Does the Fed need to adjust its inflation target?

Does a slowing economy mean a recession is around the corner?

Could a recession actually boost real estate sales?

Trade War relief and the Stock Market goes higher - feels like Groundhog’s Day

Asset bubbles and inflation - what is the correlation?

Fed changes course to boost the markets; another Greenspan-like put?

Real Estate sales are in the tank, and some think they won’t recover any time soon

Is the stock market rebound a bounce or a recovery?

Will a Fed rate pause incur additional inflation risk?

2018 Year-end summary, and a 2019 projection