A BLOG ABOUT BUSINESS & CONSULTING
Edward Thomas Author
Economic and Business cycle expert and Author of What's Next for the Economy and The Next Great President, the first two books in a "cycles" trilogy about history, politics, and economic cycles.
Everything has a cycle, and there is a periodicity to everything. It is possible that my perspective, my personal viewpoint, is biased by my chosen field and career history. I am not a professional economist or historian, nor do I pretend to be either. I am an Aerospace engineer who has seen over the past 30 years many of the ups and downs of the industry, as the economy and the nation flow between investment and downsizing, peace and war. Economics, and the broader US economy, affects everyone, and getting an MBA late in my career has helped me understand just how interdependent and interwoven it all is.
If you can learn from history, you can take advantage of that knowledge for your own personal planning and decision making. I am especially appreciative of how history lends a perspective that shows how things fit in the bigger picture. I have a tendency to think a lot about the past, and how I could have done things differently to achieve a better outcome. There are a lot of terms for this: Lessons Learned, After Action Review, and Kaizen, but if you open the timescale even larger, patterns emerge. This is the perspective that I have tried to apply to business cycles, and to other historical cycles, as a “big picture” view.
My first book, What’s Next for the Economy: Using the Power of Cycles to Predict “What’s Next” for Inflation, the Stock Market, Real Estate, and Business, is a book about economic cycles and how they can be used to project current economic conditions forward to understand what to expect in the future.
My second book, The Next Great President, is a biographical review of presidents Washington, Lincoln and FDR; then, in light of an 80-year cycle of secular crisis in US history, provides analysis of current events and rationale why our next great president will be elected in 2020, 2024 or 2028
These two books are part of a trilogy of books I plan to write about the intersection of history, technology, and current events. I hope that what I have written, and the books I write in the future, provide wisdom, perspective, and a modicum of humor to everyone who reads them.
It is my sincere wish that these books provide useful information to those who invest their time and money in reading my “cycles” trilogy.